It’s been 14 years since California has seen a Republican in the governor’s office due to the demographic shifts of Latinos rising and policies on healthcare. But in this current election, that could change.
This year, we have 2 republican candidates, Steve Hilton and Chad Biancol. Quick recap on these candidates: Hilton is a British-born citizen who moved to Los Angeles in 2012. He works with Fox News as a political commentator. Hilton represents conservatism and anti-establishment and aims to lower the cost of living. Biancol served as sheriff for Riverside for 6 years. He also represents conservative values, plus Public Safety. Bianco aims to make things more affordable and to make the streets safer in California.
Why one of these candidates could be governor.
According to polls, Governor Newsom has an approval rating in the range of 42%-46% witch is pretty poor. The democrats are showing poor numbers with independents, with a huge 58% disapproval rating. This gives the two GOP frontrunners a good base to work with, addressing the failures of the Democrats on the economy and the homeless crisis.
Many of these Independents are former Democratic voters and are willing to see a change in party.
Why they may lose.
Republicans struggle to gain support with minorities, including black Hispanic, and Asians. Data shows that the GOP has 15% support from black voters, and 36% for hispanic, which has recently risen. Even though with the rise of supporters, the Democrats still have a big support base among minorities for addressing social inequality and diversity that appeals. This is important because California is majority Hispanic and is rising every day.
My Thoughts.
Overall, as a Californian myself, I could say that my family and I are tired of the Democrats promising change but never changing. We don’t republican ethier, but having democrats for the last 14 years is unsatisfying. For example, in the California governor debate, all Democrats gave Gavin Newsom an average grade between B and A, which I found delusional because, under Gavin Newsom, homelessness overall has increased by 18%. Both Bianco and Hilton were very clear that they think that Newsom is an absolute failure on the issue witch many people agree with. Right now, I would say democrats have a 54% chance of winning and the GOP has a 46% chance. I concluded this because minorities still bend to Democrats on solving social issues and diversity, rather than economic and safety, as the number one priority. Final Candiaates I think, will be Xavier Becerra vs Steve Hilton.
